• By 2050, rising sea levels in England will imperil 200,000 homes

    Environment
    By 2050, rising sea levels in England will imperil 200,000 homes

    The homes at risk are worth tens of billions of pounds, and sea level rises that would cause flooding are now nearly unavoidable due to the accelerating rate of climate change.

    color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">Digital Desk: mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1"> As
    the climate catastrophe takes hold, new evidence predicts that approximately 200,000
    coastal buildings in England will be at risk within 30 years.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">These
    are the homes that may not be saved since attempting to do so with seawalls and
    other coastal defences would be prohibitively expensive. North Somerset,
    Sedgemoor, Wyre, and Swale are among the most vulnerable places.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">Sir
    James Bevan, the head of the Environment Agency, warned last week that many
    homes would be impossible or uneconomic to save, and that entire towns would
    have to relocate inland, calling it "the toughest of all uncomfortable
    facts."



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">The
    homes at risk are worth tens of billions of pounds, and sea level rises that
    would cause flooding are now nearly unavoidable due to the accelerating rate of
    climate change.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">By
    2050, sea levels around the English coast are expected to be 35cm higher.
    Furthermore, foreshores are eroding, resulting in higher waves, particularly
    during storms.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">Researchers
    at the University of East Anglia's Tyndall Centre released a study in the
    peer-reviewed journal Oceans and Coastal Management that estimated over 200,000
    houses and businesses at risk of abandonment.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">"Significant
    sea level rise is now unavoidable," said Paul Sayers, the paper's primary
    author. Many of our major coastal cities will continue to be protected, but
    this may not be possible for certain coastal areas. We need a real national
    discussion about the magnitude of the threat to these communities and what
    constitutes a fair and long-term response, including how to assist individuals
    in relocating."



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">"In
    the long run, climate change implies that some of our communities - both in our
    nation and around the world - will be unable to stay where they are,"
    Bevan said at a conference last week. That's because, while we can safely
    rebuild after most river flooding, there's no going back for territory that has
    been eroded away by coastal erosion or that has been permanently or repeatedly
    submerged by rising sea levels."



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">"In
    some areas, the proper approach - in economic, strategic, and human terms -
    will have to be to shift communities away from danger rather than trying to
    shield them from the unavoidable effects of increasing sea levels," he
    added. Previous estimates of the number of homes at risk were lower, as
    government estimates have not kept up with climate science. In 2018, the
    Committee on Climate Change warned that about a third of the UK coastline
    was in danger.



    mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";color:black;mso-themecolor:text1">Jim
    Hall, professor of climate and environmental risks at the University of Oxford,
    who was not involved with the latest study, said: “We need to have honest
    conversations with coastal communities, that it will simply not be possible to
    protect every house and business from sea level rise. These changes are coming
    sooner than we might think and we need to plan now for how we can adjust,
    including a nationwide strategic approach to deciding how to manage the coast
    sustainably in the future.”



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