• The Indian Rupee falls to a new low as a result of China's recession fears and demand for the US Dollar

    International
    The Indian Rupee falls to a new low as a result of China's recession fears and demand for the US Dollar

    The risk-off mode continues to dominate the market as major recession fears were ignited after the Chinese retail data for April showed a contraction of 11%, the biggest fall since March 2020.


    Digital Desk:  color:#0E101A">The Rupee weakened sharply against the US dollar, hitting a
    fresh all-time intraday low, as weak economic data from China sparked fears of
    a global recession, eroding appetite for riskier emerging market currencies,
    dealers said.



     



    color:#0E101A">The partially convertible Rupee was the last trading at
    77.6790/$1, weaker than the previous all-time intraday low of 77.6250/$1 on May
    12.



     



    color:#0E101A">The Indian currency had opened at 77.8060/$1 as against
    77.4500/$1. However, on May 9, the Rupee settled at a record closing low of
    77.4650/$1.



     



    color:#0E101A">The risk-off mode continues to dominate the market as major
    recession fears were ignited after the Chinese retail data for April showed a
    contraction of 11%, the biggest fall since March 2020.



    color:#0E101A">Coupled with the US Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to raise
    interest rates, the global wave of risk aversion by the weak Chinese data
    ensured that the dollar index hovered near 20-year highs.



     



    color:#0E101A">The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six
    major rival currencies, was last at 104.18, as against 104.17 at the previous
    close. So far, in 2022, the index has surged 9 percent.



     



    color:#0E101A">Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have been persistently
    offloading Indian equities over the last few months, with their net sales at a soaring
    Rs 1.52 lakh crore so far in 2022.



     



    color:#0E101A">While currency traders expect the RBI to continue intervening in
    the foreign exchange market to restraint unduly volatility in the Rupee, the
    central bank is likely to permit an orderly depreciation in the currency, given
    the macroeconomic fundamentals, dealers added.



     



    color:#0E101A">Pabari stated that, domestically, at a time when global risk-off
    sentiments, greater oil prices, and FII's outflows are weighing on the Indian
    Rupee, the RBI is supporting the currency by intervening across markets as the
    forex reserves decline for yet another week by $1.77 billion to $595.95 billion.



     



    color:#0E101A">Its position on inflation and interest rates still lacks clarity
    after losing credibility. Still, it has made it very clear to prevent the
    one-way slide in the Indian Rupee. Overall, we expect that the RBI will allow a
    steady slip in the currency, and we expect the pair to trade in the wide range
    of 76.50-78.50 in short to medium term, "Pabri added.

    color:#0E101A"> 



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