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New Delhi: The third wave of covid-19 is likely to hit the country early next year; however, it would be milder than the second wave, said National Covid-19 Supermodel Committee.

“Third wave of coronavirus is likely to arrive early next year. It should be milder than the second wave due to a large-scale immunity present in the country now. Right now, we are at around 7,500 cases per day which sure to go up once Omicron starts displacing Delta as the dominant variant.” M Vidyasagar, the head of the panel, said.

If the third wave hits the country, in the worst scenario, India would not log more than two cases daily, he added.

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“I emphasize that these are projections, not predictions. We can start making predictions once we know how the virus behaves in the Indian population. Based on our simulations, in the worst scenario that we have simulated, namely total loss of immunity conferred due to vaccination and maximum loss of naturally induced immunity, the number of cases remains below 1.7 to 1.8 lakh cases per day. This is less than half of the peak during the second wave,” he said.

Earlier, in view of the increase in the number of Omicron cases in the nation, the government of India advised people to keep the new year celebrations at low intensity and avoid non-essential traveling.

So far, India has recorded 101 positive cases of the Omicron variant of the coronavirus across 11 states and Union territories.


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